This week I met a really sound young Irish family, Sean and Niamh just trying to get by on a net monthly income of €2,200 with their young daughter and another baby on the way. After paying rent and servicing some modest car loans they have just under a grand a month to keep the show on the road. Figure it out, you pay for food, heating and other essentials and that’s pretty damn tight. Last year they pulled off a remarkable feat by financing their wedding day for 60 guests leaving just five grand in outstanding debt. That meant being real clever when spending on an event that typically cost five times more during the good old days.
You couldn’t script a nicer and more careful family – or a proxy for Ireland. With Sean’s earnings depressed from the recession and with their debt approaching 71% of their net annual income, they’ve been taking steep cuts in spending to avoid catastrophe. But unlike Ireland, which is in a similar debt to income trap, they’ve avoided a brawl over what to do and where the cuts should land. Their landline is gone, so too is their pension scheme contribution and their health cover is on the table. In time Niamh may be forced to give up her car. But whatever they do Sean and Niamh stick together, pay their bills and do what’s necessary to avoid further debt and live beyond their means. Adjusting their lifestyle is reality for Sean and Niamh. Pity their clear-headedness hasn’t translated elsewhere;
Public sector union chief, David Begg, this week blamed his colleague’s failure to maintain their member costs at an unaffordable level, on a campaign of incitement to hatred in the media. This is fantasy. Pointing out the hard evidence of bloated pay rates isn’t vilification Mr Begg it’s called the right thing to do when the money is running out also known as the truth. Bad as you may need scapegoats to account for your failure to deal with reality, Mr Begg you won’t easily hang emotive labels on economists and journalists who report the facts.
Just like Sean and Niamh, Ireland is in a fight for her economic survival and cannot reposition herself for growth without first bringing costs down to match earnings. That, amongst other things, means dealing with the crazy pay premium in the public sector. But, despite the agony of pay cuts, the truth I believe has dawned on many independent minded public sector workers. The cuts, which should have been avoided for the low paid, were always inevitable and no sector can rightfully claim immunity from this crisis.
But the reason why the second national day of strike was cancelled, wasn’t because of the talks with Government, it was because it was going to end in catastrophe for union leaders. You can’t win a strike without winning public support with a just cause and Mr Begg and his colleagues didn’t have one. Just ask Sean and Niamh. The shopping surge in Newry and hollow support at the pickets told them that a second national strike was ultra high risk. Just as well because when the country roared after they proposed 12 days holidays, the game was up and power drained out of their hands like a limp garden hose.
So Mr Begg, you’re leading your members on a fantasy and you follow more strikes at your peril. In a contest between Ireland’s economic survival and your agenda there can only be one winner. Time to tell your members the truth and deal with reality. Just like Sean, Niamh and the rest of the country.

Dear Taoiseach
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